Did college vine's chancing algorithm change?
Hey everyone,
I was just looking at my list today and noticed that all of the admission chances were significantly boosted for some reason. I reset my simulated responses and everything, but the chances remained unreasonably and stupidly high (There are literally no more colleges in my reach section anymore lol).
Did this happen to anyone else or is it just me?
It did! Collegevine starting taking into account the 2nd digit of your GPA and overhauled their algorithm. For example, in the past, there was no difference in chancing from 3.80 to 3.85, even though there is a big differencee in reality. If you stimulate the closest GPA to the 1st decimenal (3.83 ==>3.8), your chances will look a bit more like they used to. Additionally, they started putting more weight on ECs. And, of course, they entirely removed race from the equation, but that was a while back lol. Hope this helps!
Ah okay, I see. It is probably the ECs that impacted my chancing. I saw around a 10-20% jump for most colleges, and I doubt that would be due to a slight change in GPA chancing. Anyways, thanks!!
I guarantee you it is the GPA change. In my example, if I go into the simulation, even though it shows 3.8 (with no changes) my actual GPA is 3.85. However, if I swipe it to 3.9 and back to 3.8, it shows "-0.0" when in reality its something like -0.05. Using this my schools fell between 5-9%
My GPA was at 4.0 before and after the change lol
not sure then, probably the ECs lol
agree - 4.0 gpa and wondering why chances changed so much. frankly, it seems to be overly optimistic which is not helpful.
I really don't like it either. However, it may just be updated from the last admissions cycle. That is, they update their Algo every year based on the acceptances/rejects that students on collegevine put in. Thus it may just be a very interesting spread but the number probably aren't overly optimistic.
ANOTHER NOTE: Many schools also went down in chance (UW, UIUC, Cal Poly SLO, etc.), it just depends on the new data the school puts out.
Same thing happened to me. I've apparently got no reaches either lol
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